On Bayesian sample size determination

Abstract

Three Bayesian methods are considered for the determination of sample sizes for sampling from the Laplace distribution - the distribution of time between rare events - with a normal prior. These methods are applied to the sizing of aircraft mid-air collisions in a navigation system or large flight path deviations of aircraft in air traffic management scenarios. A computer program handles all computations and gives a good insight about the best suggested method. © 2011 Taylor & Francis.