أهم العوامل الاقتصادية المؤثرة على صادرات البطاطس المصرية ومحددات الطلب لأهم الدول المستوردة

Abstract

Potato is one of the most important vegetable crops in Egypt, where the average value of exports during the period (2000-2015) is about 127.8 million dollars, accounting for about 11.5% of the total production of potatoes. The aim of the research was to identify the most important factors affecting Egypt's potato exports during that period, and studying the determinants of demand for Egyptian potatoes in both the Russian market and the Italian market. The dependence on the multiple regression method is based on the estimation of the Russian and Italian demand on Egyptian potatoes, for the purpose of identification. It was found that the most important economical variables attributed to the exports of potatoes were the costs of agricultural inputs, exchange rate, GDP, agricultural investment, potato consumption and Egyptian potato production. The problems facing export development were identified according to the degree of importance from the perspective of exporters through a field sample. Potato demand was also estimated in the most important markets for the Egyptian potato, the Russian market and the Italian market. The most important determinants of demand for Egyptian potatoes in the Russian market, which has a positive impact of positive, The export price of the Egyptian potato to the Russian market in dollars, the export price of the Netherlands potato to the Russian market in dollars, the export price of Azerbaijan Potato to the Russian market in dollars, the amount of Azerbaijan exports to the Russian market. While there was a significant inverse correlation between the amount of Egyptian potato exports to the Russian market and the price of China's potato exports to the Russian market in dollars, while the determinants of demand for potatoes in the Italian market, which have a negative impact of significance. The price of tons of Egyptian potatoes for the Italian market in dollars, Italian imports of potatoes from other countries, Italy's production of potatoes, It was also found that the average per capita output in Italy had a significant positive effect on the required quantity of Egyptian potatoes, and these factors were statistically significant