The relationship between traffic rule violations and accident involvement records of drivers

Abstract

This paper aims to explore the relationship between the at-fault drivers involved in traffic accidents and their history of traffic violation records as a function of drivers’ behavior. The employed data was integrated from different dataset systems in Abu Dhabi Traffic Police including traffic violations, accident information and drivers’ licenses data systems. About 713,783 drivers involved in the analysis process with total accident number of 690,697 and total violation number of 2,762,011 during five years from 2010 to 2014. The analysis addressed two main parameters; accident rate per drivers and ratio of drivers with accident. Each parameter is investigated in terms of different variables; total number of violations, number of hazard violations, number of violations with penalty points and a cumulative number of traffic penalty points. The regression analysis shows a very strong relationship between the two parameters and the explanatory variables. In conclusion, the results indicated that the driver risk to be involved in future accidents can be predicted from prior driving records for traffic violations.